Wales planning news, March 2019

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Wales planning news, March 2019

01 Mar 2019
       

Contents

 
 
 
 
 
 
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Headline news

 
     
 

National and Regional estimates of housing need

The Welsh Government has published its 2018-based national and regional estimates of overall housing needs in Wales. The estimates, which cover the period 2018/19 to 2037/38, will be used to inform emerging policy decisions for the National Development Framework (due to be published in 2020) and future Strategic Development Plans.

During the first five years (2018/19 to 2023/24) the national “central estimates” indicate a need for 8,300 additional dwellings per annum (dpa) (including an allowance for existing unmet need); this need decreases to an average of 3,600 dpa during the last five years (2033/34 to 2037/38). This slowing rate of growth mirrors that contained in the 2014-based household projections, which form the basis for the assessment. By comparison, the previous estimates published by the Public Policy Institute for Wales for the Welsh Government in October 2015 indicated a need for 8,700 dpa from 2011 to 2031.

For the first time, the housing estimates take account of “existing unmet need” (i.e. existing households without a home of their own), but only for the first five years of the 20-year period. The Welsh Government has acknowledged that the identified level of existing unmet need ‘provides an incomplete picture […] and is likely to be an undercount’. It has stated that unmet need figures will be updated alongside a review of the overall estimates but has not provided a timescale for this.  

Further details about the estimates and the underlining methodology can be found in this Lichfields blog.

Welsh Government, Estimates of housing need in Wales at national and regional level (2018-based)

Welsh Government, Housing need and demand statistics

     

 

Quote of the month

 
     
     
     
 
It is important to acknowledge that, while these estimates form a basis of discussion for policy decisions and are an indication of the overall need and demand for additional housing units in Wales, they should not be used as a housing target and cannot forecast exactly what is going to happen in the future.  These estimates are part of the evidence base to inform the development of local or national targets which need to take account of national, regional and local policy and practical considerations to reach a view on the level of housing that can actually be delivered within an area.
Written Statement by Minister for Housing and Local Government, Julie James, announcing the publication of the National and Regional estimates of housing need in Wales
 
     
     

 

Further funding announced for Town Centres

Hannah Blythyn, Deputy Minister for Housing and Local Government has announced £4m of additional funding for the Town Centre Loans fund, bringing the total fund to £31m. 

The Town Centre Loans fund are part of the Welsh Government’s regeneration strategy, which is set to provide £800m of investment between 2014 and 2023.

Hannah Blythyn commented:

“Once the Town Centre Loan is repaid, the money is used again to fund new loans, to bring empty and derelict sites back into use, help businesses to grow and prosper, and support activities that increase footfall on our high streets.”

Welsh Government, Fund to revitalise town centres boosted to £31m

 

The Planning Series: National and Local Planning Policy

Sennedd Research, the National Assembly for Wales Research Service, has updated its briefing guides to national and local planning policy in Wales.

The Sennedd’s national planning policy briefing highlights the Welsh planning legislative framework and provides an overview of Planning Policy Wales and the National Development Framework, the key national planning documents.

The local planning policy briefing focuses on the process for preparing Local Development Plans and provides an update on recent progresses in adoption across Wales. It also describes the recently-introduced category of “Strategic Development Plan”, as well as providing a list of additional sources where to find further information.

Sennedd Research, New Publications: The Planning Series: National and Local Planning Policy

     

 

The Lichfields perspective

 
     
     
     
 
It is encouraging to see that the 2018-based national and regional estimates of housing need take some account of existing unmet need. However, this adjustment does not go far enough to counterbalance the recession-based trends embodied in the 2014-based projections. The translation of these figures directly into planning policy would be antithetical to the aim to boost the economy and would fail to provide needed homes. More concerning is the fact that the door appears to be open for policymakers to reduce housing requirement figures below the level of need identified by the estimates.

Stephanie Irvine, Senior Planner 

 
 
  
 
     

 

Disclaimer: This publication has been written in general terms and cannot be relied on to cover specific situations. We recommend that you obtain professional advice before acting or refraining from acting on any of the contents of this publication. Lichfields accepts no duty of care or liability for any loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from acting as a result of any material in this publication. Lichfields is the trading name of Nathaniel Lichfield & Partners Limited. Registered in England, no.2778116