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Consultation on the Design and Placemaking Planning Practice Guidance
The Government has begun a consultation on the usability of the proposed consolidation of the Design and Placemaking Planning Practice Guidance (DPPPG). The draft DPPPG is intended to support the application of policies in the draft National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) 2025, which is currently being consulted upon – see Lichfields blogs on this here.
 
It is not standard practice for MHCLG to consult on planning guidance updates; however, on this occasion the Government wants to “seek views on whether this consolidated approach improves usability and supports preparation of effective design and placemaking policies, tools and processes”. The consultation will last for 7 weeks from 21 January 2026 to 11:45pm on 10 March 2026.
 
Edward Clarke, Dominic Bowers and Matthew Spry’s blog here analyses how proposed NPPF policy L3 could unlock development potential equivalent to 632,600 homes on land at rail stations outside settlement boundaries. The blog also reminds us that whilst 632,600 homes might seem a lot, not all land will turn out to be available for development and there may be site-specific reasons that make development unfeasible in particular places.
 
In relation to density, 50 dwellings per hectare (dph) on the net developable area is the minimum density set in the proposed NPPF policy L3 for most scenarios[1]. The aim of building at increased densities to make better use of constrained land supply is not new and is promoted by the NPPF. However, this specific requirement raises questions about how sites coming forward would successfully achieve 50 dph, especially outside of urban areas and when site constraints come into play such as local context and character, Green Belt and landscape sensitivity. This blog therefore comments on how the draft DPPPG would support draft NPPF policy L3 in relation to achieving 50 dph.
 
 
The draft DPPPG
Firstly, the draft DPPPG uses and amends a paragraph in the National Design Guide (2021) – see Table 1 Below showing new additions and amendments in bold to paragraph 59 of the National Design Guide in the draft DPPPG. The tone of this draft paragraph is perhaps more optimistic and supportive than the National Design Guide’s paragraph by emphasising that there can be benefits to reap when new development is “very different” to an existing place. The new references to “innovative” and “exceptional” development could show support for proposals that would respond to modern construction methods, changing 21st Century lifestyles and more sustainable ways of living; indeed, page 11 states that “new development can introduce elements that reflect how we live today, to include innovation or change such as increased densities and incorporate new sustainable features or systems”.
 
Table 1: Paragraph 59 of the National Design Guide is used and amended at paragraph 175 of the draft DPPPG.
National Design Guide Paragraph 59
Draft DPPPG paragraph 175
Where the scale or density of new development is very different to the existing place, it may be more appropriate to create a new identity rather than to scale up the character of an existing place in its context. New character may also arise from a response to how today’s lifestyles could evolve in the future, or to the proposed method of development and construction. Larger scale new developments, such as garden villages or urban extensions, may benefit from a variety of characters so that different areas or neighbourhoods each have their own identity.
Where the scale, nature or density of new development is very different to the existing place, creating a new identity may be more appropriate. Over time, this new character of an identity may become more established and prominent in the wider area and influence newer development. Innovative and exceptional development may also justify departure from existing character. Larger new developments, such as garden towns or urban extensions, can benefit from a variety of character areas with their own identity. Masterplans can enhance local identity, drawing on surrounding influences.
 
Secondly, reference to the appropriateness of scaling up the character of an existing place is removed presumably so as not restrict or hinder the manifestation of difference. The emergence of courtyard housing typologies is an example what departure from existing character might look like. Courtyard housing typologies create outward facing homes to animate streets and more private individual and communal gardens and courtyards to the rear. These typologies are popular amongst individuals, couples and families, especially because outdoor spaces and play spaces are conveniently nearby. There is a growing catalogue of exemplary medium density developments with innovative housing models that we should be looking at that feature modern townhouse typologies and reimagined mews house typologies – if you edit the filter to search for exemplary schemes at 50 dph on the Housing Design Award’s online catalogue[2] numerous entries appear…
 
Of course, difference is not always inappropriate or wrong and new development can draw influences on local character in numerous complementary ways such as through materiality, landscaping and local forms of architecture. Reference is also made to garden ‘towns’ instead of garden ‘villages’ in the draft DPPPG which appears to be a subtle shift towards supporting larger developments containing distinctive neighbourhoods with varying characters and densities to meet an average of 50 dph – Alkerden Gateway, part of Ebbsfleet Garden City, features as an example of this in the draft DPPPG.
 
Some view building at higher densities as a problem rather than an opportunity. Ultimately, higher densities can create popular, liveable and sustainable neighbourhoods that are well connected, walkable and contribute positively to wellbeing and placemaking. Indeed, Ebenezer Howard’s garden city movement in 1898 aimed to create communities at around 45 dph[3]. Successfully proposing higher densities requires a carefully coordinated and thought-out masterplan that has a strong vision and embeds placemaking principles – which is possible and should be the aim. A great example of this in the draft DPPPG is The Chocolate Quarter in Somerdale, Keynsham which includes up to 430 dwellings, a 60 bed care home, primary school, a local centre, community facilities and open space. Located approximately 50m from the Bath-Bristol railway line and Keynsham station, the scheme successfully shows how density is an output of good placemaking and responding to the site’s context to create a high quality garden neighbourhood. The site features six distinct character areas that vary in density to feature different housing typologies and there are a large number of terraced units with 36% of dwellings being flats. The lowest density areas are along the edges of the development to create a suitable transition with the open countryside – but overall – the scheme achieves a net density of 82 dph.
 
 
Concluding thoughts…
It is evident that optimising housing densities will remain central to meeting future housing and sustainability challenges. Turning to innovative and reimagined housing typologies should be promoted when considering density as we are seeing growing examples of how such an approach does not compromise the ability to successfully deliver community-oriented, sustainable, green, characterful and high-quality places that meet diverse housing needs. 
 
 
 
Footnotes
[1] See Edward Clarke, Dominic Bowers & Matthew Spry’s blog here for details on minimum density requirements for draft NPPF Policy L3.
[3] CABE (2005) Better neighbourhoods: Making higher densities work. London: Commission for Architecture and the Built Environment.

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Spatial Development Strategy Geographies – Will the map change the landscape?

Edward Clarke, Dominic Bowers & Matthew Spry 16 Feb 2026
The next step towards the Government’s stated ambition for strategic planning - universal coverage of spatial development strategies (SDS) across the country - was announced for consultation on 12th February 2026.  If the system works as intended (and given both past history and current political vicissitudes, it is inescapably an ‘if’), then SDSs could eventually become the key development plans for longer term strategic decision-making across much of the country.
In this initial analysis we consider the make-up of the new geographies, and explore some metrics related to two of their key priorities: meeting housing needs, and growing the economy, all set out within our interactive SDS Data Dashboard, to which we will be adding metrics over time.
The announcement provided (for consultation) the Government’s preferred geographies for SDSs. For some time, more than half of England’s population has lived in areas led by Mayors; these settled geographies are – mostly[1] – continuing in the same form, and across at least seven of the major cities, the preparation of SDSs is already underway (as we observed in December).
For much of the rest of the country, those in purple and yellow in Figure 1, last week’s formal announcement begins to shed light on these areas. However, with significant proportions ‘yet to be confirmed’ (shown in white) there is still a way to go.
  
Figure 1: Proposed Spatial Development Strategy Geographies

 

Our SDS Data Dashboard
For each of the proposed SDS geographies we have assembled a small number of the key indicators to explore each area, initially focused on the twin challenges of housing and economic growth. We provide commentary below alongside a mapping of each indicator.
Table 1: SDS Key Indicators 

Meeting housing needs
SDSs are intended to ensure that sub-regional areas can effectively plan to meet their housing needs over twenty years.[2] Figure 2 shows how this maps out using the current standard method for housing need. To meet these needs across the SDS area, Strategic planning boards will therefore need to: “re-distribute housing need and other development needs between local planning authorities and may include specific policies for development or to be taken into account by local planning authorities when preparing or updating their local plans".[3] In total, over 20 years, the SDS system will need to make provision for some 7.4m homes, of which 5.7m are outside London.
SDSs in areas with existing devolution deals such as Manchester, the West Midlands and the East Midlands will need to apportion 17,000, 12,400 and 11,000 homes each year, respectively. New SDS geographies such as ‘Thames Valley’[4] Kent and Medway and Wessex will need to apportion 17,000 and 14,000 per annum respectively under their emerging geographies. For context, all of these are larger than the equivalent for West Midlands or West Yorkshire.
 
Figure 2 – 20 Year Housing Need based on Standard Method

Analysis of recent housing delivery rates shows that for many SDS areas, housing delivery over the last three years is less than 60% of the local housing need (Figure 3) indicating that new strategies will need to demonstrate a real step change in provision, most likely pursuing spatial approaches to land release that the local plans of the last 15 years did not consider.  
Across the South East those preparing SDSs will face some of the greatest challenges in meeting housing need. London, Hertfordshire, and Surrey will require building at between 120-150% of the current rates (over the last three years). A similarly big task faces much of the South West of England including Cornwall and Plymouth, Devon and Torbay, where the Government says it awaits to “hear proposals for appropriate SDS geographies”.
Meanwhile, a small number of SDS areas – those shown in blue on Figure 3 – have been successfully delivering homes at a level consistent with what their new SDS will need to secure for the next 20 years.
 
Figure 3 – Recent housing delivery against Standard Method

In increasing housing delivery (and indeed, providing for other land-hungry uses), it will be necessary to consider the presence of relevant environmental and other designations that restrict development (See Figure 4), and how that relates to functional economic and market geographies that might extend beyond SDS areas. This is in the context that the consultation draft NPPF proposes (Policy PM14) that the SDS test of soundness should be based, inter alia, on the plan being ‘positive’, with a “strategy that seeks to meet objectively assessed needs, and is based on effective joint working on cross-boundary strategic matters. A strategy which does not provide for objectively assessed needs should be considered an exception, and only where it is evidenced that stringent efforts have been taken to meet those needs through cooperation with other strategic planning authorities.”
A particular challenge will arise in the more tightly defined SDS areas such as the West Midlands Combined Authority where the SDS has an acute challenge (one with which the wider West Midlands RSS tried and failed to grapple)[5] accommodating its own development needs within its current administrative boundary. Across the WMCA SDS area, recent delivery is around 65% of the aggregate housing need, but three quarters of the land area is either already built-up or subject to national planning restrictions or the green belt.
In this, and many other SDS areas, reviewing green belts will be critical to achieve sustainable patterns of development. But the big questions remain as to how effective will be the SDS process in engaging with overlapping housing market or functional economic areas without falling into (a larger-scale version of) the local duty to cooperate trap.  
 
Figure 4 – Constrained land (green belt and national planning constraints) as a share of total land

 
Supporting economic growth
Each SDS will be expected to plan for economic growth at the strategic level within its area (see draft NPPF Policy PM1). There is no employment land equivalent to the standard method for housing need, but projecting workforce growth, using Experian forecasts over the next twenty years, shows varied challenge for SDS (See Figure 5),. Employment growth is projected for around 4.9m jobs by 2045, an increase of 15.4% in compound growth over the period to be addressed. 
The geography of workforce growth shows a continued ‘North-South divide’ with hotspots including Central Bedfordshire[6]. Within this overall scale of employment, there will also be structural economic changes that all SDS will need to address and ensure the right land and infrastructure is provided to attract the indigenous and exogenous investment necessary for improved productivity and global competitiveness.
Figure 5 - Workforce Growth Projections 2025-45 (%)

Without a prescriptive direction on how to measure ‘need’ (as reflected in the draft NPPF PM1 2 (c)) each SDS will be looking at building on the existing strengths of their economies and supporting growth in key industries identified nationally.[7] While SDSs will need to plan strategically for growth across the whole economy, the eight sectors identified in the industrial strategy are clearly earmarked for consideration, namely: Advanced Manufacturing, Clean Energy Industries, Creative Industries, Defence, Digital and Technologies, Financial Services, Life Sciences. There are clear geographical strengths and, in some locations, clusters of growth that will need to be supported in emerging development plans (see Figure 6).
 
Figure 6: Industrial Strategy Priority Sectors Location Quotient

NB: Location Quotients are a measure of each industry’s concentration in an area (in this case SDS) compared to a larger area (in this case England). 1+ indicates a strength, to a maximum of 2.

 

Some ongoing challenges
With the task ahead – planning for 7.4m homes, unlocking investment for a changing economy and 4.9m extra jobs, infrastructure provision and nature recovery – so significant, the return to strategic planning has been largely welcomed across the sector. And why not? Who doesn’t want nice big plans that provide answers to the big questions? But of course the process to get there comes with challenges that extend well beyond the logical (and largely straight forward) nuts and bolts of what is to be laid down in regulations, policy and guidance. Many of these are familiar to observers and participants in previous iterations of strategic planning: a lack of political consensus; strategies that duck the big issues; bold ambitions that are eviscerated or revoked; delays and misalignment of timescales across tiers of plans and between areas.[8]
The extent to which these risks manifest themselves will determine whether ‘strategic planning’ becomes more than an industry in itself (and a conversation piece for planners) and provides what it could and should – a mechanism for genuinely addressing strategic cross-boundary requirements and ensuring the national growth, infrastructure and nature recovery imperatives are met. 
The Government is aiming for full SDS coverage by the end of the parliament. This appears ambitious, but the consultation on geographies, progress of the English Devolution and Community Empowerment Bill, the direction of travel in the draft NPPF and the Planning and Infrastructure Act 2025 shows the Government’s intent.
However, there remain tensions inherent in the structure. Unlike in the Capital where the London Plan is subject to scrutiny by an elected Assembly, elsewhere, the equivalent is provided by a cabinet of council leaders, who - with a simple majority - can veto submission. In many of the strategic planning authorities there are four or five councils alongside a mayor, so the potential for local elections (themselves in flux)[9] to tip the balance against an emerging SDS which might have previously enjoyed support is a live prospect even for those existing Combined Authority areas with momentum. The prospect of change – with local government reorganisation, devolution processes – including Mayoral elections delayed to 2028[10] – adds to the uncertainty.
The Government’s consultation recognises the potential for SDS to falter with a change in leadership:
“A strategic planning authority can change and re-consult on an SDS up to the point of submission for Examination.  After that point, the SDS can only be withdrawn if it fails at Examination, if the Secretary of State directs that it should be withdrawn, or if the strategic planning authority votes against adopting it.”
It is early days and a mixed picture. The strategic planning landscape in some areas continues to look auspicious, notably the Combined Authorities with mayors who are keen to win the race to be first to adopt an SDS.[11] But one cannot help but think that the system created by the Government was best suited to an administration with an almost inevitable prospect of at least two full terms of parliamentary majority and the strength of writ to impose its national planning will (over local planning 'won't') throughout most of that period. But with its electoral prospects now much less clear, and the political map of England likely to evolve in the May of each of the next three years, the spectre of a modern-day version of the notorious “Caroline Spelman letter”  looms large.[12] 
 
Footnotes
[1] The West of England Mayoral Combined Authority (WEMCA) will now work in partnership with North Somerset  to establish a Strategic Planning Board (SPB) for the area’s SDS, this will extend beyond the WEMCA.
[2] See Policy PM1 in the Consultation Draft NPPF
[3]  MHCLG 2026, Areas for producing spatial development strategies
[4] The official name is catchily: Bracknell Forest, (Buckinghamshire), Oxfordshire, Reading, Slough, Swindon, West Berkshire, Windsor and Maidenhead and Wokingham
[5] As relayed in this Planning news item from 2009 reporting on the work carried out by Lichfields (then Nathaniel Lichfield & Partners) for the Government Office for the West Midlands, due to concerns that the regional planning body was not planning for sufficient housing growth and had a strategy that was overly dependent on unrealistic urban housing targets (£). The NLP report is here
[6] Workforce Growth Projections based on Experian Economic Forecasts (February 2026)
[8] The 1985 White Paper Lifting the Burden (Cmnd 9571) criticised Structure Plans for being “replete with generalities…and vague aims” and slow to prepare and update: “plans become out of date and tend to lag behind need and conditions. The twin priorities of generating jobs and providing sufficient land for housing have not been reflected fully or quickly enough.
[9] The Government appear to have abandoned plans for election delays (BBC) the controversy for which is explained in this Institute for Government analysis of the May 2026 elections.
[10] See this analysis by Institute for Government on the delayed Mayoral Elections
[11] Through the wide ranging intervention powers available to it through the Planning and Infrastructure Act.
[12] The 2009 letter, which in effect, urged Conservative Councils not to progress with implementing Regional Spatial Strategies because it intended to revoke them and the arrangements for future regional planning infrastructure   

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More of the same for town centres? Reflections on the draft 2025 NPPF consultation
Not since the first publication of the National Planning Policy Framework in 2012 has there been meaningful change for the high street and town centre uses, during which time the way we use, experience and value our town centres has changed fundamentally. Against this backdrop of economic, technological and structural transformation, the current consultation on the NPPF presents a timely opportunity to reassess how planning policy can better respond to evolving retail patterns, support mixed-use centres, and encourage new forms of development that can help underpin healthier high streets.
While the draft NPPF introduces a number of changes to retail policy that may appear unremarkable at face value – with the key retails tests that we are already familiar with remaining in place – there are subtle but significant shifts proposed that will impact on planning within town centres and the uses found within them.
 
Acknowledging change and supporting repurposing
At a high level, the draft NPPF recognises the evolution of town centres and retail uses and the changing societal ways that we engage, shop and work. There is a clear acceptance that centres are no longer defined solely by their traditional role as destinations to shop and that their long-term vitality depends on a broader mix of uses. Encouragingly, the framework continues to support the repurposing of existing buildings, reflecting the vital role this often has in sustaining town centres. 
This flexibility is welcome, particularly in the context of long-term vacancies, surplus retail floorspace and the ongoing shift towards experiential, leisure, community and residential uses within central locations. All of this is manifested in draft Policy TC2 which proposes that ‘substantial weight’ is given to proposals which support the overall vitality and viability of a centre; a big win for those seeking to reoccupy or repurpose vacant spaces.
 
Traditional retail still matters
Despite this recognition of change, the draft NPPF makes clear that traditional retail remains important. The policy framework continues to support the protection of town centres as the focus for main town centre uses and retains the core mechanisms that have underpinned retail planning for decades: the sequential test and retail impact assessment.
However, the accompanying consultation document explicitly questions whether the sequential approach should continue to be applied in its current form, particularly following the introduction of Use Class E in 2020. The document acknowledges that this more flexible use class has made it significantly easier for retail uses to be delivered in out-of-centre locations without the need for planning permission, potentially undermining the effectiveness of the sequential test.
  
From “primary shopping areas” to a broader town centre protection?
One of the more substantive policy changes for retail proposals is the proposed removal of the concept of “primary shopping areas”, which is proposed be replaced with a broader definition of “town centres”. Alongside this, the glossary definition of edge of centre (for retail proposals) within the NPPF has been extended to 300 metres from the town centre boundary.
The implications of this shift are significant. By broadening what is considered to be “in centre”, the pool of sites that must be considered as part of a sequential assessment for a retail proposal is likely to increase. For applicants, this could mean a more extensive and potentially more complex site search exercise. It will also strengthen policy protection for existing retail assets that may previously have fallen outside the primary shopping area but within the wider town centre. It also provides more explicit policy support for expansion on town centre sites that were previously located outside of the primary shopping area.
  
A return to disaggregation?
Another notable change is the potential reintroduction of disaggregation within the sequential assessment process. In line with previous legal judgements, the current NPPF does not expressly mention disaggregation and simply requires applicants to demonstrate flexibility in terms of scale and format, which has generally been considered a reasonable and logical approach. However, proposed new Policy TC3 suggests that, moving forward, applicants will be required to consider whether a proposal could be accommodated across multiple smaller sites within a town centre, rather than on a single, consolidated site:
TC3 “….it is not necessary to demonstrate that a potential town or edge of centre site can accommodate precisely the sale and form of development proposed, and it should be considered whether the type of development proposed could be accommodated across multiple sites
Assuming Policy TC3 makes it through to the final document, it is likely to open up new debate around the viability and practicality of multi-occupier schemes and, indirectly, act as a brake on investment; directly contrary to the wider aspirations of Government to promote economic growth, wherever possible.
 
Hot food takeaways and fast-food outlets
The current NPPF seeks, at paragraph 97, to restrict the location of new hot food takeaways and fast-food outlets within walking distances of schools – and other places where young people congregate – unless they are in the town centre. This was a new policy approach introduced in December 2024 without any consultation on either the thrust of the policy or the specific policy wording.
Paragraph 97 is carried forward into the new NPPF under draft Policy HC5 with only a very minor change which seeks to provide ‘clarity’ in inserting that any walking distances should be ‘reasonable’ – without providing any guidance as to how a reasonable walking distance might be defined. It also provides no further clarification as to whether the restrictions apply to both primary as well as secondary schools – or how ‘other places where children and young people congregate’ should be defined. These are issues which applicants and local planning authorities alike have been grappling with since the first introduction of the policy in 2024.
While the consultation document invites views on whether further clarity is required to improve the application of this policy, the opportunity has been missed to consult on a more clearly defined policy approach.
 
Roadside facilities
Outside of town centres, roadside facilities finally receive some long-overdue attention. Draft Policy S5 explicitly recognises such facilities as acceptable in principle outside settlement boundaries, subject to meeting the requirements of draft Policy TR5.
Draft Policy TR5 provides positive support for new and expanded roadside services where they would meet an unmet need or improve access to electric vehicle charging and alternative fuels. This is a welcome acknowledgment of changing travel patterns and the role these facilities play in supporting the transition to low-carbon transport.
However, the draft policies are notably silent on the retail and food and drink elements that typically form an integral part of roadside facilities. While it might be assumed that such uses fall to be tested against the relevant policy tests, this would seem to be a missed opportunity to clarify, for example, that small scale retail uses proposed as part of new roadside services / infrastructure (e.g. EV charging provision) should be treated as acceptable in principle and this omission risks creating uncertainty for schemes that rely on a mix of uses to be commercially viable.
  
Final thoughts & next steps
While the consultation draft NPPF carries forward a broadly similar policy approach - requiring local authorities to remain focused on the long term vitality and viability of town centres and applicants to satisfy the impact and sequential test - it does, on closer analysis, propose subtle but potentially significant changes which are likely to have a major bearing on the approach taken in relation to applications for retail and other town centre uses. In other respects, it represents a missed opportunity to provide greater policy clarity – particularly in relation to hot food take away uses and ancillary retail uses which form part of new roadside infrastructure. 
If you would like to understand more about the draft NPPF and how the proposed changes could affect your retail or town centre developments, or if you would like assistance in preparing representations to the consultation, please do get in touch.
The consultation closes to representations on 10 March 2026.
 

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Will Planning Policy (in Scotland) deliver the homes we need?
This blog is based on the presentation I recently gave to the Landscape Institute Conference in Edinburgh.
Spoiler alert it wasn’t good news!
Planning policy in Scotland is set in the Development Plan and when it was adopted in February 2023, the 4th National Planning Framework (NPF4) became part of the development plan.  Unlike its predecessors NPF4 policies are a consideration alongside Local Development Plan (LDP) policies for all planning applications.  If there is conflict between local and national policies, it is the newer policies that take precedent - for most authorities, the national policies override the local polices.
The adoption of NPF4 has necessitated the development of new LDPs in all 34 local planning authorities in Scotland and these should be in place by May 2028.
This is important for new housing delivery because Policy 16 of NPF4 essentially prevents (except in limited circumstances) the bringing forward of housing sites that are not already allocated in an LDP.  This would not be a problem if all LDPs were up to date and had sufficient allocations in them.  However, they are not and so we are largely reliant on out-of-date LDPs and what is left of the land that they originally allocated.  Furthermore, some of these LDPs never had enough housing land allocated in the first place and instead relied on a release policy to meet any shortfall. A release policy now superseded by NPF4 Policy 16.
New LDPs can’t come soon enough…  we are in the midst of a housing emergency after all!
Here is the state of play:
  • 10 of 34 LDPs were already out of date when NPF4 was adopted in 2023
  • 12 have become out of date since NPF4 was adopted
  • 2 more will become out of date in 2026
  • 10 will still be in date by the end of 2026

 

 
Based on published Development Plan Schemes 6 LPAs won’t have their new LDP in place by the May 2028 deadline.  More recent reporting through the Scottish Government’s NPF4 delivery programme report[1] indicates that this position has worsened, with up to 14 authorities now anticipated to miss that deadline.
This matters for housing delivery. Sites allocated in out-of-date LDPs should have come forward by now. Where they have not, there are often viability, infrastructure, or market reasons why they haven’t. Under previous policy frameworks, there was greater scope for alternative sites to come forward to address shortfalls. Under NPF4, that flexibility is much more limited until new allocations are made through new LDPs.
The new plan-making process itself introduces an additional stage. Authorities must now submit an Evidence Report to the Scottish Government for assessment before progressing to the preparation of the plan. Of the 34 authorities, 22 had submitted Evidence Reports as of January 2026, but only 8 have been found sufficient to proceed to the next stage of plan preparation.
The following illustrates the authorities’ anticipated timescales for the adoption of new LDPs, where they are at in the process and their progress to date is highlighted by the coloured bars.
 

 

Taken together, this suggests that relatively few new LDPs — and therefore relatively few new housing allocations — are likely to be in place by May 2028. 
 
 
So, is this having a negative effect or does all this not really matter that much? 

 
Scottish Government data on housing starts and completions usefully illustrates what has been happening in terms of new housing delivery.
Housing starts peaked in 2019/20. While the Covid-19 pandemic clearly influenced activity in 2020/21, the reduction in starts since the consultation and adoption of NPF4 is notable. Between 2023 and 2025, average housing starts were just over 16,000 per year, compared with an average of almost 20,000 over the preceding decade.
Year-to-date figures for September 2025 show fewer homes completed (down 8%) and fewer homes started (down 5%) compared with the previous year.
 


A similar pattern is visible in the number of major housing applications (50+ homes) being determined. From a peak in 2019/20, the average number of determinations between 2023 and 2025 having fallen to 89 from the previous ten-year average of 140. This is important because it indicates a reduction in the pipeline of consented, deliverable sites that will translate into starts and completions in future years.
This all matters because there is clearly a dwindling number of sites coming forward for new housing development and there is inevitably a time lag between new allocations and LDPs being adopted and new homes being built.
Lichfields’ award-winning research[2] into housing delivery found that, in England and Wales, sites of 50-99 new homes take on average 2.3 years to deliver their first new home, for sites of 100-499 new homes this increases to 3.2 years.  When we looked at housing delivery in Edinburgh[3] over a 5-year period from 2016 to 2021 the timescales were similar.
When this is combined with the time required to prepare and determine a major planning application — determination is currently averaging around 44 weeks — it is reasonable to assume that a newly allocated site might take around 18 months to secure permission, followed by a further 2–3 years before first completions.
Based on this it is unlikely that there will be an uptick in planning applications for new homes before 2030 and therefore no uptick in delivery until 2032/33.
Ironically, NPF4 will become out of date in February 2033 and be up for review!
 
So where does that leave us…
  • There has been a reduction in permissions for larger housing sites since the adoption of NPF4
  • Housing starts are on a downward trend
  • Policy 16 significantly limits the development of non-allocated sites
  • The preparation of new LDPs is taking time, meaning there are limited opportunities for new allocations in the short term
  • There are limited transitional mechanisms to support new housing delivery while plans are being prepared
  •  Even once new sites are allocated, there will be a considerable lag before homes are delivered
  •  By the time these new allocations begin to deliver homes, NPF4 itself will be approaching ten years old and due for review
 
 
Will current planning policy deliver the homes we need and address the current housing emergency? 
In short it is unlikely.
What is more likely is that Policy 16 will prevent the houses being built that the country needs now to address the housing emergency.
Scottish Government are putting in place measures to tackle the affordable housing element of the problem – we have the Housing Emergency Action Plan and the just announced new agency More Homes Scotland that will come into force if the SNP are still in power after the May elections. But interim measures to stop planning policy being a blocker of All Tenure Starts and Completions is also urgently needed.
So, for the near future our housing land supply is that was allocated by current plans (22 of which are out of date) and no more, this can only stifle delivery.
 
 
Footnotes 

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