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How the 2011 Fukushima disaster continues to affect Berkshire

Dan Lampard and Nick Kirby 31 Mar 2023
Whilst Fukushima in Japan is 6,000 miles from the Thames Valley, the meltdown of three reactors at the Daiichi nuclear plant there, following the 2011 earthquake, continues to impact on the delivery of development within parts of West Berkshire, Wokingham and Reading. 
Recent decisions by both a planning inspector and Reading Borough Council however suggest that the impacts of the constraints imposed in Spring 2020 may be being reduced – particularly for smaller residential schemes.
Background
The Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE) facilities at Burghfield and Aldermaston are nuclear licensed sites with the role of manufacturing, maintaining and developing nuclear weapons for the Ministry of Defence.  Both locations have, for many years, formed an important consideration in planning for new development in the region particularly in West Berkshire, Wokingham and Reading.
In particular the Detailed Emergency Planning Zone (DEPZ) that surrounds both locations has constrained new residential development in certain locations where it could increase human risk in the event of an accident occurring at this nuclear site.  The DEPZs reflect the risks from events regarded as having a low likelihood of occurrence but a high impact if they do occur.
Whilst the DEPZ does not constitute a legal ‘exclusion zone’ around the AWE facilities, they do form a material consideration in the determination of planning applications.  Similar provisions apply across all three local authorities – for example planning policy relating to schemes within the DEPZ  in Wokingham are required to demonstrate that the increase in the number of people can be safely accommodated having regard to the needs of ‘blue light’ services and the emergency AWE off site plan.
Changes to the extent of the DEPZ
Spring 2020 saw a notable change in the approach to planning in proximity of AWE resulting from a reassessment in the extent of the DEPZ leading to a significant widening in the zone of protection. The changes responded to the Radiation (Emergency Preparedness and Public Information) Regulations (REPPIR) which were updated in 2019 (in response to events in Fukushima) and key amendments include:
  • They gave responsibility for defining the DEPZ to the lead local authority, which for AWE Burghfield is West Berkshire District Council, whereas previously this had been the responsibility of the Office for Nuclear Regulation;

  • They amended the way in which the geographical extent of the DEPZ was determined to include greater consideration of factors such as weather conditions, causing the size of the DEPZ to significantly increase; and

  • The DEPZ was also no longer defined as a circle, instead it reflected a larger and irregularly shaped area that takes account of the settlement pattern and the roads connecting them
The impact of the amended DEPZ was that development land previously considered potentially suitable for development, became subject to a significant constraint. Notably the widened DEPZ included Grazeley Garden Town which was being proposed to provide up to 15,000 homes and was generally supported by Wokingham, Reading and West Berkshire Council.
The promoters of Grazeley (Hallam Land, Crest Nicholson Operations and Wilson Enterprises) pursued an unsuccessful High Court challenge against the process leading to the extended DEPZ.  Subsequently, in November 2021 Wokingham borough council confirmed with their Local Plan Update : Revised Growth Strategy that “in light of the changed circumstances, the Grazeley Garden Town proposal, and therefore the strategy proposed by the Draft Local Plan (February 2020), is no longer achievable”.
Initial planning decisions
Subsequently other developers (in some instances during the determination of planning applications appeals) found their sites suddenly falling within the extended DEPZ and their proposed developments subject to a constraint not envisaged at the time the planning application or appeal was submitted.
Bewley Homes submitted a Written Representations appeal against Wokingham Borough Council’s refusal of planning permission for the erection of 24 new homes at land to rear of Diana Close, Spencers Wood[1] in February 2021. The DEPZ had been extended after the refusal of the planning application and therefore the suitability of the site having regard to the DEPZ became one of the main issues considered by the Inspector during the appeal, despite it not being so during the planning application stage.
The inspector dismissed the appeal noting they considered it “necessary to adopt a precautionary approach”.
Similar decisions followed.  In dismissing an appeal for three dwellings at Grazeley Road, Three Mile Cross[2] in August 2021 the inspector considered “the proposal has the potential to have a harmful effect on the blue light services, as well as the off site plan for the AWE”.
In September 2021 in dismissing an appeal for four dwellings at the Hearn and Bailey Garage[3], Three Mile Cross the inspector concluded that “while the risk is very small and the size of the development modest it would have an adverse effect on public safety with regard to off-site nuclear planning arrangements for the AWE”.  
But subsequently…
An appeal decision was issued in January 2023 permitting JPP Lands’ proposals for the erection of 49 dwellings at Kingfisher Grove[4] following the failure of WBC to determine the application. One of the main issues the inspector assessed was whether the proposed development could be safely accommodated given the site’s proximity to AWE Burghfield, with the associated risks of an incident releasing radioactive material into the atmosphere.
Unlike the earlier appeals this decision followed a public inquiry where evidence put forward by both the appellants and WBC was tested. The inspector drew the following conclusions (in respect of that site) which led to the appeal succeeding:

  • The risk of an incident occurring would be very small – the appellants modelling suggested an event could occur on a one in 10,000 year basis

  • Considering the risk to the appeal site specifically taking into account factors such as wind conditions and adherence to the REPPIR emergency plan further reduces the risk of a person on the appeal site being harmed by such an incident to a single event in many more thousands or millions of years

  • Sheltering during an incident would be the primary method of protection to human health and this would be expected to be over a short period of less than two days

  • Despite blue light services expected to be working at capacity during an incident, these resources would be primarily focused on a localised area of the DEPZ over which the dispersed plume would pass, which would not compromise the delivery of emergency plan

  • In terms of the risks for a person at the appeal site in the event of exposure to radiation, this was expected to be low at 1.5 millisieverts (a measure of radiation) – this was considered “minor” when 20 millisieverts is the annual legal worker dose
Interestingly, Reading Borough Council (RBC) also recently granted planning permission (issued on March 10, 2023) for a Gypsy and Traveller transit site at Island Road in Reading. The site falls within the DEPZ for AWE Burghfield and RBC faced objections from the AWE Offsite Planning Group, RBC’s emergency planning officer and the Joint Emergency Planning Unit (covering Bracknell Forest, Windsor and Maidenhead and West Berkshire) as well as the Office for Nuclear Regulation (ONR) who all contended that the proposals conflicted with the requirements of the DEPZ.
RBC Officers, whilst accepting that “a family stuck for 48 hours in a [2.4 sq m] sanitary block is not going to be a pleasant experience” went on to conclude that the “relevant emergency planning specialists are not advising that they would be unsafe in doing so, if they heed the instructions”,   RBC officers therefore recommended granting the planning permission, with a planning condition attached requiring that a detailed site specific emergency plan be submitted before development commenced and Members concurred with this decision.
Conclusions
Overall, the changes arising from the enlarged DEPZs clearly imposed restrictions on planning for new development in certain locations not previously within it. Importantly however these restrictions are in the form of a planning “material consideration” rather than an “embargo”.
Planning inspectors initially trod cautiously in considering this matter, with the Diana Close inspector acknowledging she was adopting a “precautionary approach”.
In a context where planning applications are considered on their merits, and the recent decisions by both RBC and the Kingsgrove Grove are rooted in the specific circumstances of these cases, it is generally inappropriate to draw sweeping conclusions – but here are three thoughts from us:
  • Testing the scientific basis of potential risks through a cross examination process during the Kingfisher Grove appeal led the inspector to conclude that a modest level of residential development at the appeal site could proceed without an unacceptable level of risk;

  • RBC Officer and members have been prepared to challenge, and ultimately defy, the combined forces of the ONR, the AWE Offsite Planning Group, the Joint Emergency Planning Unit and their own emergency planning officer concluding that their concerns were appropriately assuaged by a planning condition; and

  • Whilst these two specific decisions do not equate with a dam bursting we expect detailed assessment of the risk of developing sites in affected areas will continue to be an important consideration for planning applications and appeals. At this stage the two permitted schemes equate to just 56 dwellings / pitches which indicate that it may continue to be harder for larger schemes to demonstrate compliance with the AWE Emergency Plan.

 

[1] PINS ref. APP/X0360/W/19/3240232

[2] PINS ref APP/X0360/W/19/3240232

[3] PINS ref APP/X0360/W/21/3271017

[4] PINS ref. no. APP/X0360/W/22/3304042

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Residents’ Ballot – Hindrance or Help?

Residents’ Ballot – Hindrance or Help?

Clare Catherall 27 Mar 2023
A unique aspect of estate regeneration projects is the potential requirement for a residents’ ballot to demonstrate support for the proposals being put forward on an estate. This requirement places residents at the heart of any project, giving them the opportunity to fundamentally support or object to regeneration proposals, in a clear yes/no vote.
For good reason, the Mayor of London is keen for residents to have a clear say in what happens on the estates where they live to ensure they are an integral part of the process. In reality, the Mayor has limited planning powers to enforce best practice on estate regeneration projects. Controlling access to GLA funding is one of the only ways he can exert power. It is now over four years since the requirement for a residents’ ballot became mandatory for any development in London involving the demolition of social housing and construction of more than 150 homes (of any tenure) which is subject to GLA capital funding.
To date, the requirement for a residents’ ballot has applied to a relatively small number of the estates currently coming forward for redevelopment.  As of November 2022 (the latest data available from the GLA), 21 estates regeneration projects which were subject to GLA funding, had registered a successful positive ballot outcome and 51 projects had sought an exemption. The latter figure reflects the long-term nature of these types of projects with planning permission often granted prior to the ballot requirement being in place.
We are aware of numerous other schemes, which were not subject to funding restrictions, but where landlords have elected to undertake a residents’ ballot without being required, although there is no centralised record of these balloted schemes. We believe that voluntary ballots are becoming more commonplace as Registered Providers, Councils and development partners are recognising their prospective value.
The ballot requirement is likely to apply to other emerging projects in receipt of the Affordable Homes Programme funding. Many of the new homes covered by this funding are likely to be provided on housing estates, which, as identified in our Great Estates Insight, offer an unparalleled opportunity to help tackle the capital’s acute housing crisis, whilst delivering better homes, enhancing neighbourhoods and improving lives. Despite recent changes to the grant funding regime to exclude funding for the reprovision of existing homes (trigging a recent flurry of activity to implement permissions by April 2023) and growing viability challenges, this sector still represents a significant opportunity to deliver the homes needed in London.
The residents’ ballot has in the past been an area of disagreement between the Mayor and Government. At one point the Government openly criticised the ‘onerous conditions’ imposed by the Mayor on estate regeneration, particularly the need to run a residents’ ballot, and suggested that these requirements will jeopardise housing delivery. Others have criticised the extensive design work and engagement to be undertaken prior to the ballot process, often at risk before there is certainty on the level of support for the changes. This work can be time consuming and requires significant investment to ensure success.  Most recently, Siân Berry, Green Party Member of the London Assembly, called for reform of the process, suggesting there is failure to ensure residents are having a say in a fair and democratic way.
Notwithstanding this, the underlying purpose of the residents’ ballot is to foster positive and inclusive engagement on developments which perhaps have the greatest direct effect on people’s lives. Many Councils and RPs are committed to running ballots on regeneration schemes, almost all ballots to-date have been overwhelmingly positive and the frequency and scale of estate renewal projects in London continues to grow. Lichfields’ view is that the Mayor’s approach to estate regeneration and the ballot process provide clarity and support for well-conceived development at London’s estates. This has certainly been our experience at Barnsbury where an overwhelmingly positive ballot outcome of 73% voting in favour of regeneration was achieved in August 2021. The ballot underpinned a constructive process of engagement with Islington and the GLA and ongoing resident consultation, prior to securing planning permission in early 2023.
The emphasis on collaboration and inclusion, and the introduction of the ballot provides a mandate for regeneration and the Mayor’s approach allows these often sensitive and charged developments to be progressed in a manner that is acceptable both politically and to communities.
For a ballot to be successful, it must be integrated as part of an open and inclusive engagement strategy, in which residents are consulted multiple times throughout the project. This background work is necessary to ensure that by the time the ballot is approached there is a groundswell of support for the proposals. Lichfields’ research found that a successful ballot outcome carries significant weight throughout a project, illustrating transparency in the engagement process and providing clear and unambiguous evidence to Planning Officers and Councillors of residents’ support for estate regeneration.
In this context, we outline below a few of the key principles to consider when preparing for a residents’ ballot.
 

Residents ballot - key principles

  • Eligible Residents: Any resident over 16 living on the estate for over a year is eligible to vote.
     
  • Defining the ‘Estate’: The ballot should be estate-wide, not limited to the immediate area of development or the homes being demolished. There can however be challenges applying this principle to very large estates where only a small amount of development is taking place. The GLA has in our experience taken a pragmatic view in agreeing a suitable area to be balloted. However, it can be an area of contention and further guidance has been published, advising on how an estate boundary can be defined. This guidance makes it clear that where there is uncertainty as to what constitutes the estate boundary it is incumbent upon the Investment Partners (RP/Council/JV partner etc.) to propose a boundary with a clear rationale and a number of pertinent considerations are listed - such as residents’ conceptions of what constitutes their estate, the typology and /or age of buildings and geographical boundaries such as road or train lines etc.
     
  • Landlord’s offer: This is the proposition residents vote on in the ballot. It must include at least a minimal level of information (objectives; design principles; approx. quantum of new homes and tenure mix; decant and phasing strategy; and commitments to ongoing consultation). In our experience though, more information and effective communication maximises the prospect of a positive outcome.
     
  • Timing: There is no procedural link between the timing of the ballot and the planning process, but there are clear reciprocal benefits in aligning the two. In Lichfields’ view, the ballot should be run when pre-application discussions are at a sufficiently advanced stage, the scheme is being crystallised and in-principle support has been secured from Officers. An earlier ballot has less chance of success or might result in abortive work if a development is amended later (and the GLA can reclaim funding if a planning permission materially deviates from the Landlord’s Offer).
     
  • Majority required: the ballot must offer a ‘yes/no’ vote on the Landlord’s Offer and a simple majority is required to pass the vote, though a large majority demonstrates unambiguous support and clearly carries more weight with planning officers and decision takers. There is no minimum threshold for turnout.
     
  • Repetition: There is no limit on the number of ballots that can be held and a revised Landlord Offer can be put to residents in the event of a ‘no’ vote or if revisions are required. This gives some comfort and flexibility, but the aim should clearly be to secure a ‘yes’ vote first time around.
Further guidance on the residents’ ballot and other themes associated with estate regeneration can be found in Lichfields’ Great Estates Insight.
 

Image credit: Edmond Dantès via Pexels 

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